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May 6, the Shanghai index down 4.11% to 2739.7 points, the highest since October 2009 has been low. Control policies in China real estate hit
continuous decline in the stock market in the shadow of the
the He further predicted this as far as: China's economic growth slowed significantly in the near future, and may collapse in 9-12 months.
China Europe International Business School of Economics and Finance Professor Xu Bin, that really will affect the housing market regulation economic growth, but strongly oppose the He told the newspaper that China's economy will collapse because of regulatory policy, there is no logic at all, clearly a miscalculation.
Shun Gao Shanwen Securities chief of the scribes also told this newspaper that the real estate bubble has already started to adjust, but the short term are not likely to collapse, the impact on economic growth is controllable.
Xu Bin, said: China's housing market and the stock market is the asset bubble, no differences of Chinese and foreign economists.
independent economist Andy Xie said China's official release of the real estate prices are a double-digit growth rate, and if their data by the real estate industry, the growth rate may exceed 50%. Gao Shanwen clearly states: market trading volume and prices will gradually be quite obvious manifestations.
Bin Xu also admitted that the housing market regulation and control policy will affect stock prices, and dragged down China's economic growth. But he believes that the central government has estimated the impact of control policies on GDP, does not make the regulatory policy out of control. Said Xu Bin,
affordable foreign media that the recent tightening of the real estate control policies introduced will be a direct result of the collapse of asset prices, Xu Bin, that
Xu Bin believes that there are many Chinese real estate rigid demand, which is relatively young population from the current structure of the decision. In addition, the Chinese mortgage down payment due to the existence, security, a certain degree of protection than the U.S. subprime mortgage zero down payment to be a lot safer, less risky mortgages. Therefore, the total collapse of the housing market is unlikely.
Andy Xie warned recently been the risk of asset bubbles, but he does not think that the real estate bubble burst control policy will be the fuse, on the contrary, he even thought that the current regulatory policy is insufficient. He said: Bank of the core capital adequacy rate of 5% to 8% mentioned. Xu Bin
also proposing to raise interest rates and other more severe austerity policies. In his view, should take a small appreciation of the RMB interest rate and a two-pronged measures to prevent the spread of asset bubbles. So as to avoid repeating the mistakes of Japan in the 1990s, laissez-faire asset bubble burst, and ultimately fall into the
said Xu Bin, the foreign media to judge the real estate prices led to a hard landing for China's economy is in the Western analysis of the economic framework of the conclusions. Efficient flow of Western money, companies generally will not have a lot of idle funds, once the chain of funding will be tight monetary tightening. In 2009, credit expansion, both state-owned enterprises in China, private enterprises have left a number of idle funds that can afford this round of tightening, raising interest rates will not lead to the proliferation of construction and real estate funds strand break situation. He said: